Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 19:00 • Tony Bezzina Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.14) 0.79 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.0% 32.0% 26.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.7%
0 - 0
15.8%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Birkirkara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zabbar St. Patrick 0 15.8% 12.5% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.7% 13.2% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.8% 6.9% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZabbar St. PatrickBirkirkara
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack31%38%
Defense63%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zabbar St. Patrick Birkirkara
HATHAT
Played527347
Wins20%0%14%67%0%29%
Draws40%50%43%33%75%57%
Loses40%50%43%0%25%14%

Form: Zabbar St. Patrick: LDDLDLW • Birkirkara: DDLDWWD

League goals

Metric Zabbar St. Patrick Birkirkara
HATHAT
GF total628336
GF avg1.21.01.11.00.80.9
GA total6410044
GA avg1.22.01.40.01.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZabbar St. PatrickBirkirkara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%57%29%
1.529%43%29%29%
2.50%14%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZabbar St. PatrickBirkirkara
HATHAT
Clean sheets101325
Failed to score101123

Penalties

MetricZabbar St. PatrickBirkirkara
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricZabbar St. PatrickBirkirkara
Wins02
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-0
Biggest losses1-23-12-1
Goals For2122
Goals Against2302

Model comparison

MetricZabbar St. PatrickBirkirkara
Form38%62%
Att45%55%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total44.5%55.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Birkirkara and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.60 @ Unibet
Draw3.42 @ Pinnacle
Away2.10 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zabbar St. Patrick = 1.05 (league 1.14), Birkirkara = 0.79 (league 1.21)

Birkirkara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zabbar St. Patrick 0 15.8% 12.5% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.7% 13.2% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.8% 6.9% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.0% · Draw 32.0% · Away win 26.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1