Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 14:30 • Estádio João Cardoso
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.37) 1.67 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.0% 19.4% 78.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
29.9%
0 - 2
25.0%
0 - 0
17.9%
Score & goals probability table
Estoril
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tondela 0 17.9% 29.9% 25.0% 13.9% 5.8% 1.9%
1 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTondelaEstoril
Played32
Form0%17%
Attack0%30%
Defense30%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 03 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 2.34 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tondela Estoril
HATHAT
Played123112
Wins0%0%0%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%100%0%50%
Loses100%100%100%0%100%50%

Form: Tondela: LLL • Estoril: DL

League goals

Metric Tondela Estoril
HATHAT
GF total000123
GF avg0.00.00.01.02.01.5
GA total167134
GA avg1.03.02.31.03.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTondelaEstoril
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.50%100%100%100%
1.50%67%50%50%
2.50%67%0%50%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTondelaEstoril
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score123000

Penalties

MetricTondelaEstoril
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTondelaEstoril
Wins00
Draws01
Losses30

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins
Biggest losses0-13-03-2
Goals For0012
Goals Against1313

Model comparison

MetricTondelaEstoril
Form0%100%
Att0%100%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total41.3%58.7%

Advice: Winner : Estoril

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ 188Bet
Draw3.20 @ Unibet
Away2.92 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Tondela = 0.05 (league 1.37), Estoril = 1.67 (league 1.20)

Estoril
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tondela 0 17.9% 29.9% 25.0% 13.9% 5.8% 1.9%
1 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.0% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 78.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1