Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:30 • FC Alverca Sports Complex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.37) 1.00 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.6% 32.1% 37.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.5%
0 - 1
15.4%
1 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Guimaraes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alverca 0 15.5% 15.4% 7.7% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.5% 13.4% 6.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.9% 5.8% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlvercaGuimaraes
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack38%54%
Defense31%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alverca Guimaraes
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%0%17%33%33%33%
Draws0%33%17%67%0%33%
Loses67%67%67%0%67%33%

Form: Alverca: LLDLWL • Guimaraes: LWLDWD

League goals

Metric Alverca Guimaraes
HATHAT
GF total246527
GF avg0.71.31.01.70.71.2
GA total5611459
GA avg1.72.01.81.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlvercaGuimaraes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%67%83%
1.517%83%33%50%
2.50%17%17%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlvercaGuimaraes
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score101022

Penalties

MetricAlvercaGuimaraes
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAlvercaGuimaraes
Wins11
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-03-20-2
Biggest losses0-32-13-0
Goals For1232
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricAlvercaGuimaraes
Form33%67%
Att42%58%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total40.5%59.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Guimaraes

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ 10Bet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.65 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.92 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alverca = 0.87 (league 1.37), Guimaraes = 1.00 (league 1.20)

Guimaraes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alverca 0 15.5% 15.4% 7.7% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.5% 13.4% 6.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.9% 5.8% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.6% · Draw 32.1% · Away win 37.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1