Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 17:00 • Estádio José Gomes
Match Finished
3 - 0

AVS

Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.37) 1.85 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.6% 22.7% 47.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 1
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
AVS
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estrela 0 4.0% 7.3% 6.7% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
1 5.5% 10.1% 9.3% 5.7% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.8% 7.0% 6.5% 4.0% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.7% 3.2% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEstrelaAVS
Played55
Form20%7%
Attack15%23%
Defense62%15%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estrela AVS
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%0%0%0%0%0%
Draws33%100%67%0%33%17%
Loses67%0%33%100%67%83%

Form: Estrela: DLDDLD • AVS: LLDLLL

League goals

Metric Estrela AVS
HATHAT
GF total213044
GF avg0.70.30.50.01.30.7
GA total5166814
GA avg1.70.31.02.02.72.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEstrelaAVS
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%67%50%100%
1.517%33%17%83%
2.50%0%0%50%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEstrelaAVS
HATHAT
Clean sheets022000
Failed to score224303

Penalties

MetricEstrelaAVS
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricEstrelaAVS
Wins00
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins
Biggest losses0-20-33-1
Goals For2102
Goals Against2133

Model comparison

MetricEstrelaAVS
Form75%25%
Att40%60%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total46.5%53.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AVS

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away3.75 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.58 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ Pinnacle
No1.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Estrela = 1.38 (league 1.37), AVS = 1.85 (league 1.20)

AVS
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estrela 0 4.0% 7.3% 6.7% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
1 5.5% 10.1% 9.3% 5.7% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.8% 7.0% 6.5% 4.0% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.7% 3.2% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.6% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 47.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1