Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 19:30 • Estadio Municipal de Famalicao
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.19 (league 1.37) 1.00 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.1% 19.5% 16.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.9%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Rio Ave
0 1 2 3 4 5
Famalicao 0 4.1% 4.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.1% 9.0% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.9% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.2% 7.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.0% 3.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFamalicaoRio Ave
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack31%54%
Defense77%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Famalicao Rio Ave
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%67%50%0%0%0%
Draws33%33%33%67%67%67%
Loses33%0%17%33%33%33%

Form: Famalicao: WWDWLD • Rio Ave: DDDLLD

League goals

Metric Famalicao Rio Ave
HATHAT
GF total437358
GF avg1.31.01.21.01.71.3
GA total2136713
GA avg0.70.30.52.02.32.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFamalicaoRio Ave
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%33%83%100%
1.517%17%33%67%
2.517%0%17%50%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFamalicaoRio Ave
HATHAT
Clean sheets224000
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricFamalicaoRio Ave
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricFamalicaoRio Ave
Wins20
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-1
Biggest losses1-20-33-1
Goals For3123
Goals Against2133

Model comparison

MetricFamalicaoRio Ave
Form73%27%
Att36%64%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h75%25%
Goals58%42%
Total65.5%34.5%

Advice: Double chance : Famalicao or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.79 @ 188Bet
Draw4.10 @ Bet365
Away5.11 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No2.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Famalicao = 2.19 (league 1.37), Rio Ave = 1.00 (league 1.20)

Rio Ave
0 1 2 3 4 5
Famalicao 0 4.1% 4.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.1% 9.0% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.9% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.2% 7.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.0% 3.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.1% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 16.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1