Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 14:30 • Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.33 (league 1.37) 2.09 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.7% 16.2% 77.1%
best score tips
0 - 2
19.4%
0 - 1
18.6%
0 - 3
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Famalicao
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arouca 0 8.9% 18.6% 19.4% 13.5% 7.1% 3.0%
1 2.9% 6.1% 6.4% 4.5% 2.3% 1.0%
2 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAroucaFamalicao
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack33%17%
Defense39%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arouca Famalicao
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins25%33%29%25%67%43%
Draws25%33%29%50%33%43%
Loses50%33%43%25%0%14%

Form: Arouca: WLDDLWL • Famalicao: WWDWLDD

League goals

Metric Arouca Famalicao
HATHAT
GF total639437
GF avg1.51.01.31.01.01.0
GA total10818213
GA avg2.52.72.60.50.30.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAroucaFamalicao
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%100%71%29%
1.543%57%14%14%
2.529%43%14%0%
3.50%29%0%0%
4.50%14%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAroucaFamalicao
HATHAT
Clean sheets000325
Failed to score213202

Penalties

MetricAroucaFamalicao
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAroucaFamalicao
Wins12
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-23-00-1
Biggest losses0-46-01-2
Goals For3231
Goals Against4621

Model comparison

MetricAroucaFamalicao
Form45%55%
Att67%33%
Def21%79%
Poisson Distribution15%85%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total41.3%58.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Famalicao

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.24 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away2.09 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Unibet
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arouca = 0.33 (league 1.37), Famalicao = 2.09 (league 1.20)

Famalicao
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arouca 0 8.9% 18.6% 19.4% 13.5% 7.1% 3.0%
1 2.9% 6.1% 6.4% 4.5% 2.3% 1.0%
2 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.7% · Draw 16.2% · Away win 77.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1