Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:30 • Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.29 (league 1.37) 0.18 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.3% 66.3% 12.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
63.1%
1 - 0
18.0%
0 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Estrela
0 1 2 3 4 5
GIL Vicente 0 63.1% 11.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.0% 3.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGIL VicenteEstrela
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack55%45%
Defense82%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

44%
FT probability

2.5+

31%
FT probability

3.5+

22%
FT probability

BTTS

43%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric GIL Vicente Estrela
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%50%57%25%0%14%
Draws0%25%14%25%100%57%
Loses33%25%29%50%0%29%

Form: GIL Vicente: WLDWWWL • Estrela: DLDDLDW

League goals

Metric GIL Vicente Estrela
HATHAT
GF total448516
GF avg1.31.01.11.30.30.9
GA total224516
GA avg0.70.50.61.30.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGIL VicenteEstrela
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%29%43%57%
1.543%29%29%29%
2.50%0%14%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGIL VicenteEstrela
HATHAT
Clean sheets235123
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricGIL VicenteEstrela
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricGIL VicenteEstrela
Wins30
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-0
Biggest losses0-22-10-2
Goals For2231
Goals Against2221

Model comparison

MetricGIL VicenteEstrela
Form63%38%
Att55%45%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h50%50%
Goals63%38%
Total60.5%39.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : GIL Vicente or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.74 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.91 @ 1xBet
Away5.90 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.34 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.70 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.29 @ 188Bet
No1.72 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): GIL Vicente = 0.29 (league 1.37), Estrela = 0.18 (league 1.20)

Estrela
0 1 2 3 4 5
GIL Vicente 0 63.1% 11.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.0% 3.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.3% · Draw 66.3% · Away win 12.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1