Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio João Cardoso
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.26 (league 1.36) 1.92 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.2% 17.7% 76.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
21.8%
0 - 2
20.9%
0 - 3
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sporting CP
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tondela 0 11.4% 21.8% 20.9% 13.3% 6.4% 2.5%
1 2.9% 5.6% 5.4% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
2 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTondelaSporting CP
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack40%80%
Defense30%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tondela Sporting CP
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins0%20%13%50%100%75%
Draws67%0%25%25%0%13%
Loses33%80%63%25%0%13%

Form: Tondela: LLLDLDWL • Sporting CP: WWWLWWWD

League goals

Metric Tondela Sporting CP
HATHAT
GF total22411920
GF avg0.70.40.52.82.32.5
GA total31114325
GA avg1.02.21.80.80.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTondelaSporting CP
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.525%88%100%50%
1.525%50%63%13%
2.50%38%38%0%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTondelaSporting CP
HATHAT
Clean sheets101224
Failed to score246000

Penalties

MetricTondelaSporting CP
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricTondelaSporting CP
Wins13
Draws10
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-26-01-4
Biggest losses0-13-01-2
Goals For2264
Goals Against2321

Model comparison

MetricTondelaSporting CP
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution12%88%
H2h0%100%
Goals14%86%
Total25.6%74.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sporting CP

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home11.00 @ Betfair
Draw6.20 @ Dafabet
Away1.29 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ Unibet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Tondela = 0.26 (league 1.36), Sporting CP = 1.92 (league 1.20)

Sporting CP
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tondela 0 11.4% 21.8% 20.9% 13.3% 6.4% 2.5%
1 2.9% 5.6% 5.4% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
2 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.2% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 76.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1