Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio João Cardoso
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.25 (league 1.37) 1.84 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.4% 18.7% 75.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.6%
0 - 2
20.8%
0 - 3
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sporting CP
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tondela 0 12.3% 22.6% 20.8% 12.8% 5.9% 2.2%
1 3.1% 5.8% 5.3% 3.3% 1.5% 0.6%
2 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTondelaSporting CP
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack29%57%
Defense50%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tondela Sporting CP
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins0%20%13%50%100%75%
Draws67%0%25%25%0%13%
Loses33%80%63%25%0%13%

Form: Tondela: LLLDLDWL • Sporting CP: WWWLWWWD

League goals

Metric Tondela Sporting CP
HATHAT
GF total22411920
GF avg0.70.40.52.82.32.5
GA total31114325
GA avg1.02.21.80.80.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTondelaSporting CP
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.525%88%100%50%
1.525%50%63%13%
2.50%38%38%0%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTondelaSporting CP
HATHAT
Clean sheets101224
Failed to score246000

Penalties

MetricTondelaSporting CP
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricTondelaSporting CP
Wins13
Draws10
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-26-01-4
Biggest losses0-13-01-2—
Goals For2264
Goals Against2321

Model comparison

MetricTondelaSporting CP
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution11%89%
H2h0%100%
Goals14%86%
Total25.4%74.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sporting CP

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home12.00 @ Betfair
Draw6.57 @ Pinnacle
Away1.29 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Betano
Under 2.52.59 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Tondela = 0.25 (league 1.37), Sporting CP = 1.84 (league 1.25)

Sporting CP
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tondela 0 12.3% 22.6% 20.8% 12.8% 5.9% 2.2%
1 3.1% 5.8% 5.3% 3.3% 1.5% 0.6%
2 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.4% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 75.7%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1