Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 11:00 •
Stadion Miejski im. Alfonsa Guzińskiego
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.52)
1.24 (league 1.69)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.9% | 21.8% | 23.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Akademia Piłkarska LG | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pogon Tczew W | 0 | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pogon Tczew W | Akademia Piłkarska LG |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 33% |
| Attack | 30% | 30% |
| Defense | 0% | 10% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2.5 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pogon Tczew W | Akademia Piłkarska LG | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 33% | 40% |
| Loses | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 67% | 40% |
Form: Pogon Tczew W: LLLL • Akademia Piłkarska LG: LDLWD
League goals
| Metric | Pogon Tczew W | Akademia Piłkarska LG | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 6 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pogon Tczew W | Akademia Piłkarska LG | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 40% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 50% | 20% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pogon Tczew W | Akademia Piłkarska LG | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pogon Tczew W | Akademia Piłkarska LG |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pogon Tczew W | Akademia Piłkarska LG |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 3-1 | — | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pogon Tczew W | Akademia Piłkarska LG |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 47.0% | 53.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Akademia Piłkarska LG
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pogon Tczew W = 1.98 (league 1.52), Akademia Piłkarska LG = 1.24 (league 1.69)
| Akademia Piłkarska LG | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pogon Tczew W | 0 | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.9% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 23.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1