Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 17:00 • Benfica Campus
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.16 (league 1.34) 1.76 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.2% 20.6% 31.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.2%
1 - 1
7.6%
2 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Penafiel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benfica B 0 2.0% 3.5% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
1 4.3% 7.6% 6.6% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
2 4.6% 8.2% 7.2% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.3% 5.9% 5.2% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.8% 3.2% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBenfica BPenafiel
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack50%29%
Defense36%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Benfica B Penafiel
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%0%0%33%0%17%
Draws67%67%67%33%33%33%
Loses33%33%33%33%67%50%

Form: Benfica B: DDDLLD • Penafiel: LDLLDW

League goals

Metric Benfica B Penafiel
HATHAT
GF total538235
GF avg1.71.01.30.71.00.8
GA total6410257
GA avg2.01.31.70.71.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBenfica BPenafiel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%50%50%
1.517%50%33%50%
2.517%17%0%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBenfica BPenafiel
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score000213

Penalties

MetricBenfica BPenafiel
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBenfica BPenafiel
Wins00
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0
Biggest losses1-22-10-23-2
Goals For3122
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricBenfica BPenafiel
Form38%63%
Att64%36%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h85%15%
Goals78%22%
Total59.2%41.0%

Advice: Double chance : Benfica B or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ 188Bet
Away4.45 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.12 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Benfica B = 2.16 (league 1.34), Penafiel = 1.76 (league 1.14)

Penafiel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benfica B 0 2.0% 3.5% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
1 4.3% 7.6% 6.6% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
2 4.6% 8.2% 7.2% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.3% 5.9% 5.2% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.8% 3.2% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.2% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 31.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1