Wed, Sep 3 2025 • 18:45 • St. James Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.48) 0.73 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.0% 39.1% 33.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.1%
0 - 1
19.0%
1 - 0
16.0%
Score & goals probability table
Carlisle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brackley Town 0 26.1% 19.0% 6.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.0% 11.7% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.9% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrackley TownCarlisle
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack40%73%
Defense67%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brackley Town Carlisle
HATHAT
Played325336
Wins67%0%40%33%67%50%
Draws33%50%40%67%0%33%
Loses0%50%20%0%33%17%

Form: Brackley Town: WLWDD • Carlisle: WDDWWL

League goals

Metric Brackley Town Carlisle
HATHAT
GF total4269413
GF avg1.31.01.23.01.32.2
GA total235426
GA avg0.71.51.01.30.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrackley TownCarlisle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%100%50%
1.520%20%50%33%
2.50%0%33%17%
3.50%0%17%0%
4.50%0%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrackley TownCarlisle
HATHAT
Clean sheets101123
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBrackley TownCarlisle
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBrackley TownCarlisle
Wins12
Draws02
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-15-00-2
Biggest losses2-12-1
Goals For2152
Goals Against1232

Model comparison

MetricBrackley TownCarlisle
Form50%50%
Att35%65%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total46.0%54.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Carlisle

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.48 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Pinnacle
Away2.20 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Betano
Under 2.52.02 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Brackley Town = 0.62 (league 1.48), Carlisle = 0.73 (league 1.25)

Carlisle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brackley Town 0 26.1% 19.0% 6.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.0% 11.7% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.9% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.0% · Draw 39.1% · Away win 33.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1