Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • The Prestige Group Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.48) 0.19 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.5% 19.0% 3.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.7%
2 - 0
22.1%
0 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Tamworth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hartlepool 0 13.8% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.7% 4.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.1% 4.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.1% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHartlepoolTamworth
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack17%50%
Defense75%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hartlepool Tamworth
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%33%36%50%40%45%
Draws60%33%45%33%0%18%
Loses0%33%18%17%60%36%

Form: Hartlepool: DWWWDDDLDLW • Tamworth: LLWLDWWLWWD

League goals

Metric Hartlepool Tamworth
HATHAT
GF total64107613
GF avg1.20.70.91.21.21.2
GA total13441115
GA avg0.20.50.40.72.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHartlepoolTamworth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%36%82%73%
1.527%0%27%45%
2.59%0%9%9%
3.50%0%0%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHartlepoolTamworth
HATHAT
Clean sheets437303
Failed to score235022

Penalties

MetricHartlepoolTamworth
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricHartlepoolTamworth
Wins32
Draws31
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-02-3
Biggest losses1-01-24-0
Goals For3223
Goals Against1124

Model comparison

MetricHartlepoolTamworth
Form33%67%
Att25%75%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h71%29%
Goals57%43%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Hartlepool or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle
Away3.30 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.02 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hartlepool = 1.79 (league 1.48), Tamworth = 0.19 (league 1.25)

Tamworth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hartlepool 0 13.8% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.7% 4.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.1% 4.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.1% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.5% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 3.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1