Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Roots Hall
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.99 (league 1.51) 1.31 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.6% 21.7% 24.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.6%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Aldershot Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southend 0 3.7% 4.8% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.4% 9.6% 6.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.3% 9.6% 6.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.8% 6.3% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.4% 3.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthendAldershot Town
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack33%28%
Defense67%39%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southend Aldershot Town
HATHAT
Played66127613
Wins33%50%42%29%17%23%
Draws50%17%33%29%33%31%
Loses17%33%25%43%50%46%

Form: Southend: WWDWDWLWDLLD • Aldershot Town: LLLWWDDDLWLLD

League goals

Metric Southend Aldershot Town
HATHAT
GF total71017131427
GF avg1.21.71.41.92.32.1
GA total4711131528
GA avg0.71.20.91.92.52.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthendAldershot Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%58%92%85%
1.542%25%69%69%
2.517%8%23%46%
3.50%0%15%15%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthendAldershot Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets325202
Failed to score202011

Penalties

MetricSouthendAldershot Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricSouthendAldershot Town
Wins22
Draws13
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-01-5
Biggest losses0-23-21-44-2
Goals For3345
Goals Against2344

Model comparison

MetricSouthendAldershot Town
Form56%44%
Att55%45%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h62%38%
Goals62%38%
Total60.2%39.8%

Advice: Double chance : Southend or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Betano
Draw5.08 @ Pinnacle
Away7.08 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.66 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Unibet
No2.20 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Southend = 1.99 (league 1.51), Aldershot Town = 1.31 (league 1.23)

Aldershot Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southend 0 3.7% 4.8% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.4% 9.6% 6.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.3% 9.6% 6.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.8% 6.3% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.4% 3.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.6% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 24.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1