Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Mazuma Mobile Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.48) 3.70 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.3% 11.0% 62.4%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.2%
1 - 4
6.7%
1 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Southend
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morecambe 0 0.6% 2.3% 4.3% 5.3% 4.9% 3.6%
1 0.9% 3.2% 5.9% 7.2% 6.7% 5.0%
2 0.6% 2.2% 4.0% 5.0% 4.6% 3.4%
3 0.3% 1.0% 1.9% 2.3% 2.1% 1.6%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMorecambeSouthend
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack36%43%
Defense0%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)16 | 3.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Morecambe Southend
HATHAT
Played66127613
Wins33%0%17%43%50%46%
Draws0%33%17%43%17%31%
Loses67%67%67%14%33%23%

Form: Morecambe: WLLLLDWLLLDL • Southend: WWDWDWLWDLLDW

League goals

Metric Morecambe Southend
HATHAT
GF total10616101020
GF avg1.71.01.31.41.71.5
GA total1620364711
GA avg2.73.33.00.61.20.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMorecambeSouthend
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%85%54%
1.533%83%46%23%
2.517%67%23%8%
3.517%33%0%0%
4.50%17%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMorecambeSouthend
HATHAT
Clean sheets000426
Failed to score134202

Penalties

MetricMorecambeSouthend
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMorecambeSouthend
Wins12
Draws11
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-33-00-3
Biggest losses2-55-00-23-2
Goals For4433
Goals Against5523

Model comparison

MetricMorecambeSouthend
Form17%83%
Att45%55%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h93%7%
Goals69%31%
Total46.3%53.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Southend and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.93 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.62 @ Pinnacle
Away1.51 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.29 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.66 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Morecambe = 1.38 (league 1.48), Southend = 3.70 (league 1.24)

Southend
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morecambe 0 0.6% 2.3% 4.3% 5.3% 4.9% 3.6%
1 0.9% 3.2% 5.9% 7.2% 6.7% 5.0%
2 0.6% 2.2% 4.0% 5.0% 4.6% 3.4%
3 0.3% 1.0% 1.9% 2.3% 2.1% 1.6%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.3% · Draw 11.0% · Away win 62.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1