Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 16:30 • Stadion Essen
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.21 (league 1.86) 6.58 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.0% 0.3% 35.4%
best score tips
0 - 5
11.6%
0 - 4
8.8%
0 - 3
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
1899 Hoffenheim W
0 1 2 3 4 5
SGS Essen W 0 0.1% 0.7% 2.4% 5.3% 8.8% 11.6%
1 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 1.1% 1.8% 2.4%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSGS Essen W1899 Hoffenheim W
Played55
Form7%47%
Attack11%47%
Defense26%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SGS Essen W 1899 Hoffenheim W
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%0%0%33%67%50%
Draws33%0%17%33%0%17%
Loses67%100%83%33%33%33%

Form: SGS Essen W: LDLLLL • 1899 Hoffenheim W: WWLDWL

League goals

Metric SGS Essen W 1899 Hoffenheim W
HATHAT
GF total1124913
GF avg0.30.30.31.33.02.2
GA total10919347
GA avg3.33.03.21.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSGS Essen W1899 Hoffenheim W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%83%83%83%
1.50%83%50%33%
2.50%33%50%0%
3.50%33%33%0%
4.50%33%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSGS Essen W1899 Hoffenheim W
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score224101

Penalties

MetricSGS Essen W1899 Hoffenheim W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSGS Essen W1899 Hoffenheim W
Wins02
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-01-4
Biggest losses0-85-00-22-1
Goals For1134
Goals Against8522

Model comparison

MetricSGS Essen W1899 Hoffenheim W
Form13%88%
Att18%82%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution4%96%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total25.8%74.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : 1899 Hoffenheim W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.06 @ 1xBet
Draw4.39 @ Pinnacle
Away1.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ 188Bet
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): SGS Essen W = 0.21 (league 1.86), 1899 Hoffenheim W = 6.58 (league 1.50)

1899 Hoffenheim W
0 1 2 3 4 5
SGS Essen W 0 0.1% 0.7% 2.4% 5.3% 8.8% 11.6%
1 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 1.1% 1.8% 2.4%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.0% · Draw 0.3% · Away win 35.4%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1