Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 10:00 •
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.86)
1.73 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.7% | 23.7% | 55.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
12.3%
1 - 1
11.3%
0 - 2
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| RB Leipzig W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Union Berlin W | 0 | 7.1% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Union Berlin W | RB Leipzig W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 27% |
| Attack | 41% | 35% |
| Defense | 47% | 41% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Union Berlin W | RB Leipzig W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Loses | 33% | 67% | 50% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
Form: Union Berlin W: DLWWLL • RB Leipzig W: WLLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Union Berlin W | RB Leipzig W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Union Berlin W | RB Leipzig W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 83% | 67% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 17% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Union Berlin W | RB Leipzig W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Union Berlin W | RB Leipzig W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Union Berlin W | RB Leipzig W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-2 | 0-3 | 4-3 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Union Berlin W | RB Leipzig W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 51.0% | 49.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Union Berlin W or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Union Berlin W = 0.92 (league 1.86), RB Leipzig W = 1.73 (league 1.50)
| RB Leipzig W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Union Berlin W | 0 | 7.1% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.7% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 55.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1