Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 14:00 • Kuflink Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.46) 0.48 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.5% 37.6% 18.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.5%
1 - 0
22.7%
0 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Hornchurch
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ebbsfleet United 0 25.5% 12.2% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.7% 10.8% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.1% 4.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEbbsfleet UnitedAFC Hornchurch
Played55
Form33%87%
Attack27%73%
Defense60%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ebbsfleet United AFC Hornchurch
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%25%43%100%67%86%
Draws33%25%29%0%33%14%
Loses0%50%29%0%0%0%

Form: Ebbsfleet United: WWWLDLD • AFC Hornchurch: WWWWDWW

League goals

Metric Ebbsfleet United AFC Hornchurch
HATHAT
GF total34710616
GF avg1.01.01.02.52.02.3
GA total156347
GA avg0.31.30.90.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEbbsfleet UnitedAFC Hornchurch
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%43%100%57%
1.529%29%71%29%
2.50%14%57%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEbbsfleet UnitedAFC Hornchurch
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricEbbsfleet UnitedAFC Hornchurch
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricEbbsfleet UnitedAFC Hornchurch
Wins34
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-23-01-2
Biggest losses2-0
Goals For1233
Goals Against1323

Model comparison

MetricEbbsfleet UnitedAFC Hornchurch
Form28%72%
Att27%73%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total41.2%58.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AFC Hornchurch

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ William Hill
Away3.10 @ Betway

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ebbsfleet United = 0.89 (league 1.46), AFC Hornchurch = 0.48 (league 1.26)

AFC Hornchurch
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ebbsfleet United 0 25.5% 12.2% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.7% 10.8% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.1% 4.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.5% · Draw 37.6% · Away win 18.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1