Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 14:00 • York Road Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.46) 1.35 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.4% 27.9% 62.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
24.7%
0 - 0
18.2%
0 - 2
16.7%
Score & goals probability table
Chelmsford City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maidenhead 0 18.2% 24.7% 16.7% 7.5% 2.5% 0.7%
1 6.4% 8.6% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
2 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMaidenheadChelmsford City
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack67%40%
Defense67%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maidenhead Chelmsford City
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%50%43%75%0%43%
Draws33%25%29%0%67%29%
Loses33%25%29%25%33%29%

Form: Maidenhead: LDDLWWW • Chelmsford City: WDLWDWL

League goals

Metric Maidenhead Chelmsford City
HATHAT
GF total5611707
GF avg1.71.51.61.80.01.0
GA total527718
GA avg1.70.51.01.80.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMaidenheadChelmsford City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%57%57%
1.557%29%43%14%
2.514%0%0%14%
3.514%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMaidenheadChelmsford City
HATHAT
Clean sheets022123
Failed to score022033

Penalties

MetricMaidenheadChelmsford City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMaidenheadChelmsford City
Wins01
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-42-1
Biggest losses1-21-02-51-0
Goals For2420
Goals Against2151

Model comparison

MetricMaidenheadChelmsford City
Form59%41%
Att63%38%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total61.3%39.0%

Advice: Double chance : Maidenhead or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ William Hill
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away3.30 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Maidenhead = 0.35 (league 1.46), Chelmsford City = 1.35 (league 1.26)

Chelmsford City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maidenhead 0 18.2% 24.7% 16.7% 7.5% 2.5% 0.7%
1 6.4% 8.6% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
2 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.4% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 62.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1