Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Melbourne Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.46) 1.43 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.2% 22.6% 29.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Dorking Wanderers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelmsford City 0 3.8% 5.4% 3.9% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.0% 10.0% 7.1% 3.4% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.4% 9.2% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.9% 5.7% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.8% 2.6% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelmsford CityDorking Wanderers
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack60%80%
Defense20%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelmsford City Dorking Wanderers
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins75%20%44%60%25%44%
Draws0%40%22%20%25%22%
Loses25%40%33%20%50%33%

Form: Chelmsford City: WDLWDWLLW • Dorking Wanderers: DLWLWWLWD

League goals

Metric Chelmsford City Dorking Wanderers
HATHAT
GF total7298412
GF avg1.80.41.01.61.01.3
GA total73105611
GA avg1.80.61.11.01.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelmsford CityDorking Wanderers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%56%56%78%
1.533%22%56%33%
2.50%11%11%11%
3.50%11%11%0%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelmsford CityDorking Wanderers
HATHAT
Clean sheets134202
Failed to score033224

Penalties

MetricChelmsford CityDorking Wanderers
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricChelmsford CityDorking Wanderers
Wins12
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-14-11-2
Biggest losses2-52-10-32-0
Goals For2142
Goals Against5232

Model comparison

MetricChelmsford CityDorking Wanderers
Form41%59%
Att43%57%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h25%75%
Goals29%71%
Total38.0%62.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Dorking Wanderers

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.88 @ William Hill
Draw3.54 @ Pinnacle
Away2.32 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.05 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelmsford City = 1.84 (league 1.46), Dorking Wanderers = 1.43 (league 1.26)

Dorking Wanderers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelmsford City 0 3.8% 5.4% 3.9% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.0% 10.0% 7.1% 3.4% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.4% 9.2% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.9% 5.7% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.8% 2.6% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.2% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 29.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1