Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Hornchurch Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.46) 0.48 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.7% 33.1% 16.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.7%
0 - 0
20.8%
2 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Horsham
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Hornchurch 0 20.8% 9.9% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.7% 10.9% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.4% 5.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC HornchurchHorsham
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack100%70%
Defense70%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Hornchurch Horsham
HATHAT
Played5510549
Wins80%60%70%40%25%33%
Draws20%40%30%20%25%22%
Loses0%0%0%40%50%44%

Form: AFC Hornchurch: WWWWDWWDWD • Horsham: LLDWLDWWL

League goals

Metric AFC Hornchurch Horsham
HATHAT
GF total1012228412
GF avg2.02.42.21.61.01.3
GA total37108311
GA avg0.61.41.01.60.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC HornchurchHorsham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%60%67%67%
1.560%30%44%33%
2.550%10%22%11%
3.510%0%0%11%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC HornchurchHorsham
HATHAT
Clean sheets314123
Failed to score101123

Penalties

MetricAFC HornchurchHorsham
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAFC HornchurchHorsham
Wins42
Draws11
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-52-00-3
Biggest losses0-22-1
Goals For3533
Goals Against2342

Model comparison

MetricAFC HornchurchHorsham
Form61%39%
Att59%41%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total64.3%36.0%

Advice: Double chance : AFC Hornchurch or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ 188Bet
Draw3.81 @ Pinnacle
Away4.50 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Pinnacle
No2.12 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AFC Hornchurch = 1.09 (league 1.46), Horsham = 0.48 (league 1.26)

Horsham
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Hornchurch 0 20.8% 9.9% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.7% 10.9% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.4% 5.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.7% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 16.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1