Tue, Sep 2 2025 • 18:45 • Tameside Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.26 (league 1.49) 3.17 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.4% 6.5% 81.9%
best score tips
0 - 3
17.2%
0 - 2
16.3%
0 - 4
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Chorley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Curzon Ashton 0 3.2% 10.3% 16.3% 17.2% 13.6% 8.6%
1 0.9% 2.7% 4.3% 4.5% 3.6% 2.3%
2 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCurzon AshtonChorley
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack26%68%
Defense58%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 113 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Curzon Ashton Chorley
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%33%17%67%67%67%
Draws33%67%50%33%0%17%
Loses67%0%33%0%33%17%

Form: Curzon Ashton: DDDLWL • Chorley: WWDWWL

League goals

Metric Curzon Ashton Chorley
HATHAT
GF total1569716
GF avg0.31.71.03.02.32.7
GA total549246
GA avg1.71.31.50.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCurzon AshtonChorley
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%83%67%
1.517%33%83%33%
2.517%17%67%0%
3.50%0%33%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCurzon AshtonChorley
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score202011

Penalties

MetricCurzon AshtonChorley
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCurzon AshtonChorley
Wins12
Draws31
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-34-01-4
Biggest losses0-31-0
Goals For1344
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricCurzon AshtonChorley
Form33%67%
Att28%72%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution9%91%
H2h71%29%
Goals62%38%
Total39.3%60.7%

Advice: Winner : Chorley

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.42 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Betano
Away2.40 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.82 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Curzon Ashton = 0.26 (league 1.49), Chorley = 3.17 (league 1.23)

Chorley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Curzon Ashton 0 3.2% 10.3% 16.3% 17.2% 13.6% 8.6%
1 0.9% 2.7% 4.3% 4.5% 3.6% 2.3%
2 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.4% · Draw 6.5% · Away win 81.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1