Tue, Sep 2 2025 • 18:45 • RAW Charging Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.54) 2.18 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.8% 20.5% 52.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.2%
1 - 1
8.4%
1 - 3
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Alfreton Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oxford City 0 2.7% 5.9% 6.4% 4.6% 2.5% 1.1%
1 3.9% 8.4% 9.2% 6.6% 3.6% 1.6%
2 2.8% 6.1% 6.6% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1%
3 1.3% 2.9% 3.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOxford CityAlfreton Town
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack32%16%
Defense42%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Oxford City Alfreton Town
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%0%17%33%0%17%
Draws0%33%17%0%67%33%
Loses67%67%67%67%33%50%

Form: Oxford City: LWDLLL • Alfreton Town: DLLDWL

League goals

Metric Oxford City Alfreton Town
HATHAT
GF total448235
GF avg1.31.31.30.71.00.8
GA total86145510
GA avg2.72.02.31.71.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOxford CityAlfreton Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%50%83%
1.533%67%33%67%
2.50%33%0%17%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%17%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOxford CityAlfreton Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score000213

Penalties

MetricOxford CityAlfreton Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricOxford CityAlfreton Town
Wins11
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—2-0—
Biggest losses1-53-20-32-0
Goals For2222
Goals Against5332

Model comparison

MetricOxford CityAlfreton Town
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h20%80%
Goals40%60%
Total43.7%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Alfreton Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ William Hill
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away3.03 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.02 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Oxford City = 1.44 (league 1.54), Alfreton Town = 2.18 (league 1.24)

Alfreton Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oxford City 0 2.7% 5.9% 6.4% 4.6% 2.5% 1.1%
1 3.9% 8.4% 9.2% 6.6% 3.6% 1.6%
2 2.8% 6.1% 6.6% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1%
3 1.3% 2.9% 3.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.8% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 52.0%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1