Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 14:00 • The New Eyrie
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.54) 2.33 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.3% 19.7% 49.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.2%
1 - 1
7.1%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Curzon Ashton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bedford Town 0 1.8% 4.2% 4.9% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0%
1 3.0% 7.1% 8.2% 6.4% 3.7% 1.7%
2 2.6% 6.0% 7.0% 5.4% 3.1% 1.5%
3 1.5% 3.4% 3.9% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8%
4 0.6% 1.4% 1.7% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBedford TownCurzon Ashton
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack32%27%
Defense64%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bedford Town Curzon Ashton
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%0%14%25%33%29%
Draws33%25%29%25%67%43%
Loses33%75%57%50%0%29%

Form: Bedford Town: DLWLLLD • Curzon Ashton: DDDLWLW

League goals

Metric Bedford Town Curzon Ashton
HATHAT
GF total6410358
GF avg2.01.01.40.81.71.1
GA total5813549
GA avg1.72.01.91.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBedford TownCurzon Ashton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%100%71%86%
1.543%71%29%29%
2.514%14%14%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBedford TownCurzon Ashton
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricBedford TownCurzon Ashton
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBedford TownCurzon Ashton
Wins11
Draws13
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—2-02-3
Biggest losses1-23-10-3—
Goals For3223
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricBedford TownCurzon Ashton
Form36%64%
Att54%46%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Curzon Ashton

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Draw3.43 @ Pinnacle
Away2.65 @ Pinnacle
Home2.65 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Bedford Town = 1.69 (league 1.54), Curzon Ashton = 2.33 (league 1.24)

Curzon Ashton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bedford Town 0 1.8% 4.2% 4.9% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0%
1 3.0% 7.1% 8.2% 6.4% 3.7% 1.7%
2 2.6% 6.0% 7.0% 5.4% 3.1% 1.5%
3 1.5% 3.4% 3.9% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8%
4 0.6% 1.4% 1.7% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.3% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 49.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1