Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 14:00 • Victory Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.04 (league 1.49) 0.74 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.1% 6.0% 2.8%
best score tips
4 - 0
9.3%
3 - 0
9.3%
5 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Telford United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chorley 0 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.9% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.3% 6.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.3% 6.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 7.5% 5.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChorleyAFC Telford United
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack45%41%
Defense73%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chorley AFC Telford United
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%50%57%50%0%29%
Draws33%0%14%25%67%43%
Loses0%50%29%25%33%29%

Form: Chorley: WWDWWLL • AFC Telford United: DDLLDWW

League goals

Metric Chorley AFC Telford United
HATHAT
GF total97167411
GF avg3.01.82.31.81.31.6
GA total2684610
GA avg0.71.51.11.02.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChorleyAFC Telford United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%86%86%
1.571%43%43%43%
2.557%0%29%14%
3.529%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChorleyAFC Telford United
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricChorleyAFC Telford United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricChorleyAFC Telford United
Wins20
Draws12
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-43-0
Biggest losses2-00-13-1
Goals For4432
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricChorleyAFC Telford United
Form50%50%
Att53%47%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h50%50%
Goals33%67%
Total54.7%45.3%

Advice: Double chance : Chorley or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.63 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.98 @ Pinnacle
Away5.25 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Betano
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Chorley = 4.04 (league 1.49), AFC Telford United = 0.74 (league 1.23)

AFC Telford United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chorley 0 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.9% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.3% 6.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.3% 6.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 7.5% 5.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.1% · Draw 6.0% · Away win 2.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1