Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Victory Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.49) 0.65 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.9% 19.5% 10.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.2%
1 - 0
14.0%
3 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Macclesfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chorley 0 6.9% 4.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.0% 9.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.2% 9.2% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.5% 6.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChorleyMacclesfield
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack79%36%
Defense64%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chorley Macclesfield
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%50%63%50%25%38%
Draws25%0%13%25%50%38%
Loses0%50%25%25%25%25%

Form: Chorley: WWDWWLLW • Macclesfield: WLWDDWLD

League goals

Metric Chorley Macclesfield
HATHAT
GF total127197411
GF avg3.01.82.41.81.01.4
GA total3696410
GA avg0.81.51.11.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChorleyMacclesfield
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%88%88%
1.575%38%38%25%
2.563%0%13%13%
3.525%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChorleyMacclesfield
HATHAT
Clean sheets202011
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricChorleyMacclesfield
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricChorleyMacclesfield
Wins21
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-43-11-2
Biggest losses2-01-32-1
Goals For4432
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricChorleyMacclesfield
Form60%40%
Att69%31%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total65.3%34.8%

Advice: Winner : Chorley

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ William Hill
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away3.80 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Chorley = 2.02 (league 1.49), Macclesfield = 0.65 (league 1.23)

Macclesfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chorley 0 6.9% 4.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.0% 9.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.2% 9.2% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.5% 6.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.9% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 10.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1