Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • MandM Edgar Street Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.49) 1.30 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.3% 24.7% 31.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 0
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Worksop Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hereford 0 5.7% 7.3% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.9% 11.6% 7.5% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.0% 9.1% 5.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.8% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHerefordWorksop Town
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack43%57%
Defense43%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hereford Worksop Town
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%25%25%50%25%38%
Draws25%25%25%50%0%25%
Loses50%50%50%0%75%38%

Form: Hereford: LLWLLWDD • Worksop Town: LDLWWWDL

League goals

Metric Hereford Worksop Town
HATHAT
GF total5388311
GF avg1.30.81.02.00.81.4
GA total85135712
GA avg2.01.31.61.31.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHerefordWorksop Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%88%88%75%
1.538%50%38%50%
2.50%13%13%25%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHerefordWorksop Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricHerefordWorksop Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricHerefordWorksop Town
Wins13
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-00-1
Biggest losses1-42-03-1
Goals For2231
Goals Against4233

Model comparison

MetricHerefordWorksop Town
Form33%67%
Att43%57%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Worksop Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.01 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.46 @ Pinnacle
Away3.50 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.22 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Hereford = 1.57 (league 1.49), Worksop Town = 1.30 (league 1.23)

Worksop Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hereford 0 5.7% 7.3% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.9% 11.6% 7.5% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.0% 9.1% 5.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.8% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.3% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 31.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1