Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Penydarren Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.49) 2.19 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.1% 20.1% 40.7%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.3%
1 - 2
7.2%
2 - 1
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Radcliffe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merthyr Town 0 1.5% 3.3% 3.6% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6%
1 3.0% 6.6% 7.2% 5.2% 2.9% 1.3%
2 3.0% 6.6% 7.3% 5.3% 2.9% 1.3%
3 2.0% 4.5% 4.9% 3.6% 1.9% 0.9%
4 1.0% 2.3% 2.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4%
5 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMerthyr TownRadcliffe
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack64%79%
Defense43%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Merthyr Town Radcliffe
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%75%63%75%25%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses50%25%38%25%75%50%

Form: Merthyr Town: WWLWLLWW • Radcliffe: LLWLWWLW

League goals

Metric Merthyr Town Radcliffe
HATHAT
GF total69157714
GF avg1.52.31.91.81.81.8
GA total65114812
GA avg1.51.31.41.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMerthyr TownRadcliffe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%50%75%88%
1.563%38%38%50%
2.538%38%25%13%
3.50%13%25%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMerthyr TownRadcliffe
HATHAT
Clean sheets224101
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricMerthyr TownRadcliffe
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMerthyr TownRadcliffe
Wins22
Draws00
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-11-5
Biggest losses1-34-00-23-0
Goals For2345
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricMerthyr TownRadcliffe
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total47.8%52.3%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ William Hill
Draw3.64 @ Pinnacle
Away2.27 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ 188Bet
No2.50 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.61 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Merthyr Town = 2.02 (league 1.49), Radcliffe = 2.19 (league 1.23)

Radcliffe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merthyr Town 0 1.5% 3.3% 3.6% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6%
1 3.0% 6.6% 7.2% 5.2% 2.9% 1.3%
2 3.0% 6.6% 7.3% 5.3% 2.9% 1.3%
3 2.0% 4.5% 4.9% 3.6% 1.9% 0.9%
4 1.0% 2.3% 2.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4%
5 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.1% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 40.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1