Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 12:00 • Stadion Geolog
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.27 (league 1.32) 1.02 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.5% 18.9% 15.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
2 - 0
9.6%
1 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Volgar Astrakhan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tyumen 0 3.7% 3.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 8.4% 8.6% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.8% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.2% 7.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.1% 4.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTyumenVolgar Astrakhan
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack92%46%
Defense38%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tyumen Volgar Astrakhan
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins50%33%40%60%20%40%
Draws25%17%20%40%20%30%
Loses25%50%40%0%60%30%

Form: Tyumen: LWLWWWLLDD • Volgar Astrakhan: DLWLDLWWDW

League goals

Metric Tyumen Volgar Astrakhan
HATHAT
GF total1012227310
GF avg2.52.02.21.40.61.0
GA total7815369
GA avg1.81.31.50.61.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTyumenVolgar Astrakhan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%80%60%70%
1.560%40%30%20%
2.530%30%10%0%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTyumenVolgar Astrakhan
HATHAT
Clean sheets112303
Failed to score011134

Penalties

MetricTyumenVolgar Astrakhan
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricTyumenVolgar Astrakhan
Wins32
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-62-01-2
Biggest losses2-33-2—2-0
Goals For4632
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricTyumenVolgar Astrakhan
Form33%67%
Att67%33%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : Tyumen or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.08 @ 1xBet
Draw3.36 @ Marathonbet
Away3.15 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.20 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.51 @ Marathonbet
No2.37 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tyumen = 2.27 (league 1.32), Volgar Astrakhan = 1.02 (league 1.05)

Volgar Astrakhan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tyumen 0 3.7% 3.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 8.4% 8.6% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.8% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.2% 7.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.1% 4.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.5% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 15.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1