Thu, Sep 25 2025 • 02:00 • Estadio Cacique Diriangén
Match Finished
Expected Goals
5.53 (league 1.53) 1.51 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.0% 4.8% 3.3%
best score tips
5 - 1
5.7%
4 - 1
5.2%
5 - 2
4.3%
Score & goals probability table
Real Estelí
0 1 2 3 4 5
Diriangén 0 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.3% 2.0% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.5% 3.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 3.4% 5.2% 3.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
5 3.8% 5.7% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDiriangénReal Estelí
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack85%35%
Defense70%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)17 | 3.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

8.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

83%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Diriangén Real Estelí
HATHAT
Played279549
Wins100%57%67%80%50%67%
Draws0%14%11%20%25%22%
Loses0%29%22%0%25%11%

Form: Diriangén: WWWWLDLWW • Real Estelí: WDWWWDWLW

League goals

Metric Diriangén Real Estelí
HATHAT
GF total1319329615
GF avg6.52.73.61.81.51.7
GA total099459
GA avg0.01.31.00.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDiriangénReal Estelí
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%67%89%67%
1.567%33%44%22%
2.556%0%22%11%
3.544%0%11%0%
4.533%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDiriangénReal Estelí
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricDiriangénReal Estelí
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricDiriangénReal Estelí
Wins43
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-01-84-21-3
Biggest losses2-03-1
Goals For7843
Goals Against0223

Model comparison

MetricDiriangénReal Estelí
Form41%59%
Att71%29%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total50.8%49.2%

Advice: Winner : Diriangén

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.46 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.52 @ 1xBet
Away3.52 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.13 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Superbet
No2.29 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Diriangén = 5.53 (league 1.53), Real Estelí = 1.51 (league 0.99)

Real Estelí
0 1 2 3 4 5
Diriangén 0 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.3% 2.0% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.5% 3.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 3.4% 5.2% 3.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
5 3.8% 5.7% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.0% · Draw 4.8% · Away win 3.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1