Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 14:00 • Metlaoui Municipal stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.19) 0.18 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.2% 36.2% 6.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
30.7%
0 - 0
30.4%
2 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
US Ben Guerdane
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Metlaoui 0 30.4% 5.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.7% 5.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.5% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricES MetlaouiUS Ben Guerdane
Played55
Form27%13%
Attack9%18%
Defense55%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

41%
FT probability

2.5+

29%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

47%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ES Metlaoui US Ben Guerdane
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%25%38%25%0%13%
Draws50%0%25%50%25%38%
Loses0%75%38%25%75%50%

Form: ES Metlaoui: DWWLDLWL • US Ben Guerdane: WLDDLLDL

League goals

Metric ES Metlaoui US Ben Guerdane
HATHAT
GF total314224
GF avg0.80.30.50.50.50.5
GA total156167
GA avg0.31.30.80.31.50.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineES MetlaouiUS Ben Guerdane
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.538%50%38%63%
1.513%25%13%25%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricES MetlaouiUS Ben Guerdane
HATHAT
Clean sheets314303
Failed to score235325

Penalties

MetricES MetlaouiUS Ben Guerdane
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricES MetlaouiUS Ben Guerdane
Wins21
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-12-0
Biggest losses2-00-12-0
Goals For2121
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricES MetlaouiUS Ben Guerdane
Form67%33%
Att33%67%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total59.0%41.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : ES Metlaoui or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.19 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.01 @ 1xBet
Away3.94 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.30 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.34 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.63 @ Betfair
No1.50 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): ES Metlaoui = 1.01 (league 1.19), US Ben Guerdane = 0.18 (league 0.83)

US Ben Guerdane
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Metlaoui 0 30.4% 5.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.7% 5.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.5% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.2% · Draw 36.2% · Away win 6.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1