Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 13:00 •
St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Expected Goals
3.05 (league 1.64)
1.46 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.6% | 15.0% | 15.1% |
best score tips
3 - 1
7.6%
2 - 1
7.5%
4 - 1
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Newcastle United W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Birmingham City W | 0 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Birmingham City W | Newcastle United W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 60% | 30% |
| Defense | 80% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
7.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
78%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
96%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Birmingham City W | Newcastle United W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Birmingham City W: WD • Newcastle United W: WD
League goals
| Metric | Birmingham City W | Newcastle United W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GF avg | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Birmingham City W | Newcastle United W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Birmingham City W | Newcastle United W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Birmingham City W | Newcastle United W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Birmingham City W | Newcastle United W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | — | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Birmingham City W | Newcastle United W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 46.7% | 53.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Birmingham City W or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Birmingham City W = 3.05 (league 1.64), Newcastle United W = 1.46 (league 1.37)
| Newcastle United W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Birmingham City W | 0 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.6% · Draw 15.0% · Away win 15.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1