Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 17:00 • Stadio dei Marmi - IV Olimpionici Azzurri
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.21 (league 1.43) 0.05 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.4% 1.7% 0.1%
best score tips
4 - 0
18.5%
3 - 0
17.6%
5 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
Padova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrarese 0 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 18.5% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 15.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarraresePadova
Played11
Form100%0%
Attack40%20%
Defense100%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 21 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 03 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carrarese Padova
HATHAT
Played011011
Wins100%100%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%100%100%

Form: Carrarese: W • Padova: L

League goals

Metric Carrarese Padova
HATHAT
GF total022011
GF avg0.02.02.00.01.01.0
GA total000033
GA avg0.00.00.00.03.03.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarraresePadova
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%100%
1.5100%0%0%100%
2.50%0%0%100%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarraresePadova
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricCarraresePadova
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCarraresePadova
Wins10
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-2
Biggest losses3-1
Goals For0201
Goals Against0003

Model comparison

MetricCarraresePadova
Form100%0%
Att67%33%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total67.0%33.0%

Advice: Double chance : Carrarese or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away3.25 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ 188Bet
No1.84 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Carrarese = 4.21 (league 1.43), Padova = 0.05 (league 1.11)

Padova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrarese 0 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 18.5% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 15.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.4% · Draw 1.7% · Away win 0.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1