Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 • Brianteo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.34 (league 1.43) 0.19 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.8% 62.6% 12.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
58.7%
1 - 0
20.2%
0 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Catanzaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monza 0 58.7% 11.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.2% 3.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonzaCatanzaro
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack50%63%
Defense38%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

43%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monza Catanzaro
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%0%33%0%0%0%
Draws0%67%33%100%100%100%
Loses33%33%33%0%0%0%

Form: Monza: WDLWLD • Catanzaro: DDDDDD

League goals

Metric Monza Catanzaro
HATHAT
GF total235426
GF avg0.71.00.81.30.71.0
GA total145426
GA avg0.31.30.81.30.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonzaCatanzaro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%67%67%
1.50%17%33%33%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonzaCatanzaro
HATHAT
Clean sheets202022
Failed to score101022

Penalties

MetricMonzaCatanzaro
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMonzaCatanzaro
Wins10
Draws16
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0
Biggest losses0-12-1
Goals For1122
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricMonzaCatanzaro
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total51.5%48.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Monza or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.44 @ Pinnacle
Away4.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monza = 0.34 (league 1.43), Catanzaro = 0.19 (league 1.11)

Catanzaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monza 0 58.7% 11.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.2% 3.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.8% · Draw 62.6% · Away win 12.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1