Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 17:30 • Stadio Alberto Picco
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.43) 3.26 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.2% 8.2% 77.5%
best score tips
0 - 3
13.1%
0 - 2
12.1%
0 - 4
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Cesena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spezia 0 2.3% 7.4% 12.1% 13.1% 10.7% 7.0%
1 1.2% 3.9% 6.3% 6.9% 5.6% 3.6%
2 0.3% 1.0% 1.7% 1.8% 1.5% 1.0%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpeziaCesena
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack24%41%
Defense47%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spezia Cesena
HATHAT
Played437347
Wins0%0%0%0%75%43%
Draws25%67%43%67%0%29%
Loses75%33%57%33%25%29%

Form: Spezia: LDDLLDL • Cesena: WDWWDLL

League goals

Metric Spezia Cesena
HATHAT
GF total2243811
GF avg0.50.70.61.02.01.6
GA total74114610
GA avg1.81.31.61.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpeziaCesena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%86%100%100%
1.50%57%43%29%
2.50%14%14%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpeziaCesena
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score213000

Penalties

MetricSpeziaCesena
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSpeziaCesena
Wins02
Draws21
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-3
Biggest losses1-32-01-23-1
Goals For1113
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricSpeziaCesena
Form22%78%
Att36%64%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution14%86%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%63%
Total31.0%69.2%

Advice: Winner : Cesena

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.33 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.61 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.53 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.56 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spezia = 0.52 (league 1.43), Cesena = 3.26 (league 1.11)

Cesena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spezia 0 2.3% 7.4% 12.1% 13.1% 10.7% 7.0%
1 1.2% 3.9% 6.3% 6.9% 5.6% 3.6%
2 0.3% 1.0% 1.7% 1.8% 1.5% 1.0%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.2% · Draw 8.2% · Away win 77.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1