Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 16:00 •
Stockhorn Arena
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.56)
1.82 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.5% | 21.8% | 64.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.6%
0 - 2
14.1%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Luzern W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Thun | 0 | 8.6% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Thun | Luzern W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 0% | 44% |
| Attack | 11% | 33% |
| Defense | 33% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 2 | 5 | 1.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Thun | Luzern W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Loses | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
Form: Thun: LLL • Luzern W: LDW
League goals
| Metric | Thun | Luzern W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Thun | Luzern W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 100% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 67% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Thun | Luzern W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Thun | Luzern W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Thun | Luzern W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-4 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Thun | Luzern W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 17% | 83% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 43.0% | 57.0% |
Advice: Winner : Luzern W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Thun = 0.64 (league 1.56), Luzern W = 1.82 (league 1.65)
| Luzern W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Thun | 0 | 8.6% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.5% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 64.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1