Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Victory Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.88 (league 1.53) 1.77 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.6% 16.9% 21.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.0%
3 - 1
6.7%
2 - 2
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Barwell
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leiston 0 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 2.8% 4.9% 4.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
2 4.0% 7.0% 6.2% 3.7% 1.6% 0.6%
3 3.8% 6.7% 6.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5%
4 2.7% 4.9% 4.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
5 1.6% 2.8% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeistonBarwell
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack56%38%
Defense63%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leiston Barwell
HATHAT
Played56115510
Wins20%50%36%40%20%30%
Draws60%33%45%20%20%20%
Loses20%17%18%40%60%50%

Form: Leiston: DLDWWLWDDDW • Barwell: WLLLWDLLWD

League goals

Metric Leiston Barwell
HATHAT
GF total108187613
GF avg2.01.31.61.41.21.3
GA total971671118
GA avg1.81.21.51.42.21.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeistonBarwell
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%82%90%80%
1.564%45%30%70%
2.59%18%10%20%
3.50%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeistonBarwell
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricLeistonBarwell
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricLeistonBarwell
Wins21
Draws31
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-00-1
Biggest losses2-33-00-24-1
Goals For2332
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricLeistonBarwell
Form64%36%
Att60%40%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total58.7%41.3%

Advice: Double chance : Leiston or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.81 @ 1xBet
Draw3.84 @ Pinnacle
Away3.90 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.21 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.11 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leiston = 2.88 (league 1.53), Barwell = 1.77 (league 1.22)

Barwell
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leiston 0 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 2.8% 4.9% 4.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
2 4.0% 7.0% 6.2% 3.7% 1.6% 0.6%
3 3.8% 6.7% 6.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5%
4 2.7% 4.9% 4.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
5 1.6% 2.8% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.6% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 21.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1