Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Nethermoor Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.47) 0.21 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.7% 19.5% 3.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.5%
2 - 0
21.6%
0 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Morpeth Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guiseley AFC 0 13.9% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.5% 5.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.6% 4.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.7% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuiseley AFCMorpeth Town
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack31%23%
Defense23%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guiseley AFC Morpeth Town
HATHAT
Played459448
Wins50%20%33%25%0%13%
Draws25%0%11%25%25%25%
Loses25%80%56%50%75%63%

Form: Guiseley AFC: LWLWLDLWL • Morpeth Town: LLLWLLDD

League goals

Metric Guiseley AFC Morpeth Town
HATHAT
GF total8210314
GF avg2.00.41.10.80.30.5
GA total31013459
GA avg0.82.01.41.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuiseley AFCMorpeth Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%78%50%75%
1.533%44%0%38%
2.522%11%0%0%
3.511%11%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuiseley AFCMorpeth Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score145134

Penalties

MetricGuiseley AFCMorpeth Town
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricGuiseley AFCMorpeth Town
Wins11
Draws10
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-21-0
Biggest losses0-14-01-22-0
Goals For4211
Goals Against1422

Model comparison

MetricGuiseley AFCMorpeth Town
Form44%56%
Att57%43%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Double chance : Guiseley AFC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guiseley AFC = 1.76 (league 1.47), Morpeth Town = 0.21 (league 1.15)

Morpeth Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guiseley AFC 0 13.9% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.5% 5.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.6% 4.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.7% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.7% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 3.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1