Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 •
Hurst Cross
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.48)
0.43 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.4% | 42.6% | 20.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
32.1%
1 - 0
22.6%
0 - 1
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Lancaster City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ashton United | 0 | 32.1% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.6% | 9.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ashton United | Lancaster City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 87% |
| Attack | 46% | 77% |
| Defense | 62% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ashton United | Lancaster City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 50% | 25% | 38% | 80% | 50% | 67% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 25% | 11% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 13% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
Form: Ashton United: WDWLDWDD • Lancaster City: LLWWDWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Ashton United | Lancaster City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ashton United | Lancaster City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 63% | 67% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 0% | 56% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ashton United | Lancaster City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ashton United | Lancaster City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ashton United | Lancaster City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ashton United | Lancaster City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 32% | 68% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 50.7% | 49.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lancaster City and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ashton United = 0.70 (league 1.48), Lancaster City = 0.43 (league 1.15)
| Lancaster City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ashton United | 0 | 32.1% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.6% | 9.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.4% · Draw 42.6% · Away win 20.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1