Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 •
F. Ball Community Stadium
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.48)
0.83 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.1% | 21.1% | 15.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.1%
2 - 0
11.8%
1 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Ilkeston Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leek Town | 0 | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.8% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.6% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leek Town | Ilkeston Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 20% |
| Attack | 69% | 38% |
| Defense | 46% | 31% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leek Town | Ilkeston Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 60% | 20% | 40% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 40% | 60% | 50% | 60% | 80% | 70% |
Form: Leek Town: LLWLDWWWLL • Ilkeston Town: WLWLLWLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Leek Town | Ilkeston Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 6 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leek Town | Ilkeston Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 80% | 50% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 50% | 30% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 30% | 10% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leek Town | Ilkeston Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leek Town | Ilkeston Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leek Town | Ilkeston Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leek Town | Ilkeston Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 46% | 54% |
| Total | 59.3% | 40.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Leek Town or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Leek Town = 1.95 (league 1.48), Ilkeston Town = 0.83 (league 1.15)
| Ilkeston Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leek Town | 0 | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.8% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.6% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.1% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 15.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1