Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • New Manor Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.48) 0.52 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.7% 22.0% 10.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.0%
2 - 0
15.8%
0 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Workington
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ilkeston Town 0 10.3% 5.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.0% 9.4% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.8% 8.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.3% 4.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIlkeston TownWorkington
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack31%31%
Defense23%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ilkeston Town Workington
HATHAT
Played56115510
Wins40%33%36%0%20%10%
Draws0%0%0%60%0%30%
Loses60%67%64%40%80%60%

Form: Ilkeston Town: WLWLLWLLLLW • Workington: LLLLDLWDLD

League goals

Metric Ilkeston Town Workington
HATHAT
GF total5611336
GF avg1.01.01.00.60.60.6
GA total5101551318
GA avg1.01.71.41.02.61.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIlkeston TownWorkington
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%82%50%90%
1.536%36%10%50%
2.59%18%0%10%
3.50%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIlkeston TownWorkington
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score325235

Penalties

MetricIlkeston TownWorkington
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricIlkeston TownWorkington
Wins11
Draws01
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-21-2
Biggest losses0-33-11-26-0
Goals For3212
Goals Against3326

Model comparison

MetricIlkeston TownWorkington
Form38%63%
Att50%50%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total51.0%49.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Workington

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Bet365
Draw3.92 @ Pinnacle
Away4.46 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Marathonbet
No1.98 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ilkeston Town = 1.76 (league 1.48), Workington = 0.52 (league 1.15)

Workington
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ilkeston Town 0 10.3% 5.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.0% 9.4% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.8% 8.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.3% 4.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.7% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 10.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1