Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 18:45 •
Borough Park
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.48)
1.04 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.1% | 34.2% | 48.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
22.6%
0 - 0
21.7%
0 - 2
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Gainsborough Trinity | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Workington | 0 | 21.7% | 22.6% | 11.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Workington | Gainsborough Trinity |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 80% |
| Attack | 50% | 50% |
| Defense | 42% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Workington | Gainsborough Trinity | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 0% | 17% | 9% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Draws | 60% | 0% | 27% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Loses | 40% | 83% | 64% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
Form: Workington: LLLLDLWDLDL • Gainsborough Trinity: LWLWDWWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Workington | Gainsborough Trinity | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 5 | 16 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Workington | Gainsborough Trinity | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 91% | 70% | 30% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 55% | 40% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 18% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Workington | Gainsborough Trinity | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Workington | Gainsborough Trinity |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Workington | Gainsborough Trinity |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 6-0 | 0-3 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Workington | Gainsborough Trinity |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 28% | 72% |
| H2h | 9% | 91% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 28.2% | 71.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Gainsborough Trinity and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Workington = 0.49 (league 1.48), Gainsborough Trinity = 1.04 (league 1.15)
| Gainsborough Trinity | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Workington | 0 | 21.7% | 22.6% | 11.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.1% · Draw 34.2% · Away win 48.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1