Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Giant Axe Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.47) 0.70 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.1% 26.1% 17.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.7%
2 - 0
12.5%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Hednesford Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lancaster City 0 11.1% 7.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.7% 11.6% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.5% 8.7% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.3% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLancaster CityHednesford Town
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack82%82%
Defense82%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lancaster City Hednesford Town
HATHAT
Played66125611
Wins67%67%67%80%33%55%
Draws17%17%17%20%17%18%
Loses17%17%17%0%50%27%

Form: Lancaster City: LLWWDWWWWWDW • Hednesford Town: WWWLLDDWWWL

League goals

Metric Lancaster City Hednesford Town
HATHAT
GF total108189615
GF avg1.71.31.51.81.01.4
GA total5493811
GA avg0.80.70.80.61.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLancaster CityHednesford Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%50%82%64%
1.550%25%55%27%
2.533%0%0%9%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLancaster CityHednesford Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets336224
Failed to score224022

Penalties

MetricLancaster CityHednesford Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricLancaster CityHednesford Town
Wins53
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-00-2
Biggest losses0-21-03-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against2213

Model comparison

MetricLancaster CityHednesford Town
Form57%43%
Att50%50%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total60.5%39.5%

Advice: Double chance : Lancaster City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.57 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.28 @ Marathonbet
Away2.49 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.79 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Marathonbet
No1.98 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lancaster City = 1.50 (league 1.47), Hednesford Town = 0.70 (league 1.15)

Hednesford Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lancaster City 0 11.1% 7.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.7% 11.6% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.5% 8.7% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.3% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.1% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 17.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1