Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 •
Stadion Esp
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.79)
1.51 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.8% | 25.0% | 41.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
0 - 1
9.0%
1 - 2
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Winterthur II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Baden | 0 | 6.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Baden | Winterthur II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 80% | 60% |
| Defense | 33% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Baden | Winterthur II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 25% | 75% | 50% | 20% | 67% | 38% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 13% | 40% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 25% | 38% | 40% | 33% | 38% |
Form: Baden: WWLWLLDW • Winterthur II: LDWWLWDL
League goals
| Metric | Baden | Winterthur II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 11 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 7 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Baden | Winterthur II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 88% | 88% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 50% | 50% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 13% | 38% | 63% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 13% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Baden | Winterthur II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Baden | Winterthur II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Baden | Winterthur II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-4 | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Baden | Winterthur II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 53.5% | 46.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Baden or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Baden = 1.31 (league 1.79), Winterthur II = 1.51 (league 1.55)
| Winterthur II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Baden | 0 | 6.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.8% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 41.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1