Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 12:00 •
Estadio Nuevo Lasesarre
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.35)
1.43 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.5% | 23.7% | 32.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 2
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Cacereño | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Barakaldo | 0 | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Barakaldo | Cacereño |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 42% | 42% |
| Attack | 36% | 45% |
| Defense | 64% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 6 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Barakaldo | Cacereño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
Form: Barakaldo: LDWD • Cacereño: DDLW
League goals
| Metric | Barakaldo | Cacereño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Barakaldo | Cacereño | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 100% | 75% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 0% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Barakaldo | Cacereño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Barakaldo | Cacereño |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Barakaldo | Cacereño |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Barakaldo | Cacereño |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 52.3% | 47.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Barakaldo or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Barakaldo = 1.67 (league 1.35), Cacereño = 1.43 (league 1.05)
| Cacereño | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Barakaldo | 0 | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.5% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 32.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1