Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 15:00 • Estadio As Eiroas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.46) 1.91 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.3% 22.3% 48.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.9%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Numancia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bergantiños 0 3.8% 7.2% 6.9% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
1 5.2% 9.9% 9.4% 6.0% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.5% 6.8% 6.4% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7%
3 1.6% 3.1% 2.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBergantiñosNumancia
Played22
Form17%67%
Attack23%23%
Defense69%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 1.53 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 22 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

92%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bergantiños Numancia
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%0%0%100%0%50%
Draws100%0%50%0%100%50%
Loses0%100%50%0%0%0%

Form: Bergantiños: DL • Numancia: DW

League goals

Metric Bergantiños Numancia
HATHAT
GF total213213
GF avg2.01.01.52.01.01.5
GA total224112
GA avg2.02.02.01.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBergantiñosNumancia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.550%100%50%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBergantiñosNumancia
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBergantiñosNumancia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBergantiñosNumancia
Wins00
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1
Biggest losses2-1
Goals For2121
Goals Against2211

Model comparison

MetricBergantiñosNumancia
Form20%80%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total33.3%66.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Numancia

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.30 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Betfair
No1.74 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bergantiños = 1.37 (league 1.46), Numancia = 1.91 (league 1.05)

Numancia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bergantiños 0 3.8% 7.2% 6.9% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
1 5.2% 9.9% 9.4% 6.0% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.5% 6.8% 6.4% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7%
3 1.6% 3.1% 2.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.3% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 48.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1