Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 18:45 •
The Plain Ham Ground
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.71)
1.75 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.2% | 23.5% | 54.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
11.3%
1 - 1
11.2%
0 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Hartpury University | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Larkhall Athletic | 0 | 6.5% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Larkhall Athletic | Hartpury University |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 35% | 100% |
| Defense | 47% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 17 | 3.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Larkhall Athletic | Hartpury University | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 17% | 75% | 33% | 57% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 17% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Loses | 33% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 67% | 29% |
Form: Larkhall Athletic: LLLWDL • Hartpury University: LWDWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Larkhall Athletic | Hartpury University | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 3.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Larkhall Athletic | Hartpury University | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 83% | 100% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | 86% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 17% | 43% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Larkhall Athletic | Hartpury University | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Larkhall Athletic | Hartpury University |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Larkhall Athletic | Hartpury University |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | — | 8-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-2 | — | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Larkhall Athletic | Hartpury University |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 26% | 74% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 31.5% | 68.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Hartpury University
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Larkhall Athletic = 0.99 (league 1.71), Hartpury University = 1.75 (league 1.26)
| Hartpury University | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Larkhall Athletic | 0 | 6.5% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.2% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 54.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1