Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.28 (league 1.53) 2.73 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.5% 16.0% 27.8%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.4%
2 - 2
4.9%
3 - 3
4.9%
Score & goals probability table
Giugliano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cosenza 0 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3%
1 0.8% 2.2% 3.0% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0%
2 1.3% 3.6% 4.9% 4.5% 3.1% 1.7%
3 1.4% 3.9% 5.4% 4.9% 3.3% 1.8%
4 1.2% 3.2% 4.4% 4.0% 2.7% 1.5%
5 0.8% 2.1% 2.9% 2.6% 1.8% 1.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCosenzaGiugliano
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack67%67%
Defense50%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

88%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cosenza Giugliano
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%0%20%33%0%20%
Draws0%100%60%0%100%40%
Loses50%0%20%67%0%40%

Form: Cosenza: DLDWD • Giugliano: LDWDL

League goals

Metric Cosenza Giugliano
HATHAT
GF total538448
GF avg2.51.01.61.32.01.6
GA total336549
GA avg1.51.01.21.72.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCosenzaGiugliano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%100%80%
1.540%40%60%80%
2.520%0%0%20%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCosenzaGiugliano
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricCosenzaGiugliano
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCosenzaGiugliano
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-0
Biggest losses1-22-3
Goals For4222
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricCosenzaGiugliano
Form55%45%
Att50%50%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total53.8%46.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Cosenza or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Bet365
Draw3.95 @ Pinnacle
Away5.84 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ SBO
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Unibet
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Cosenza = 3.28 (league 1.53), Giugliano = 2.73 (league 1.10)

Giugliano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cosenza 0 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3%
1 0.8% 2.2% 3.0% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0%
2 1.3% 3.6% 4.9% 4.5% 3.1% 1.7%
3 1.4% 3.9% 5.4% 4.9% 3.3% 1.8%
4 1.2% 3.2% 4.4% 4.0% 2.7% 1.5%
5 0.8% 2.1% 2.9% 2.6% 1.8% 1.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.5% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 27.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1