Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 13:00 • Estádio Otacília Patrício Arroyo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.07) 0.29 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.2% 30.8% 8.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
27.0%
0 - 0
22.3%
2 - 0
16.3%
Score & goals probability table
Francana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monte Azul 0 22.3% 6.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.0% 7.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.3% 4.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.6% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonte AzulFrancana
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack50%50%
Defense58%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monte Azul Francana
HATHAT
Played4596511
Wins75%20%44%17%40%27%
Draws25%40%33%83%20%55%
Loses0%40%22%0%40%18%

Form: Monte Azul: LWDWDWWLD • Francana: LDDLDWDWDWD

League goals

Metric Monte Azul Francana
HATHAT
GF total549549
GF avg1.30.81.00.80.80.8
GA total178459
GA avg0.31.40.90.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonte AzulFrancana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%44%73%55%
1.511%22%9%18%
2.50%22%0%9%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonte AzulFrancana
HATHAT
Clean sheets325325
Failed to score011213

Penalties

MetricMonte AzulFrancana
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMonte AzulFrancana
Wins21
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-11-00-1
Biggest losses3-13-1
Goals For2121
Goals Against1323

Model comparison

MetricMonte AzulFrancana
Form47%53%
Att50%50%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h67%33%
Goals55%45%
Total57.8%42.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Monte Azul or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ Unibet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away4.75 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.73 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Betfair
No1.84 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monte Azul = 1.21 (league 1.07), Francana = 0.29 (league 0.83)

Francana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monte Azul 0 22.3% 6.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.0% 7.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.3% 4.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.6% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.2% · Draw 30.8% · Away win 8.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1