Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio Moisés Lucarelli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.07) 1.02 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.1% 24.2% 22.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 0
11.3%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Paulista
0 1 2 3 4 5
Primavera SP 0 6.8% 6.9% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.3% 11.5% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.7% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.3% 5.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPrimavera SPPaulista
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack55%45%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Primavera SP Paulista
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins60%33%45%67%20%45%
Draws20%50%36%0%20%9%
Loses20%17%18%33%60%45%

Form: Primavera SP: DWWDDWWWLDL • Paulista: LWLDLWWLWLW

League goals

Metric Primavera SP Paulista
HATHAT
GF total96158311
GF avg1.81.01.41.30.61.0
GA total73105510
GA avg1.40.50.90.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePrimavera SPPaulista
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%55%55%64%
1.536%27%27%27%
2.518%9%9%0%
3.59%0%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPrimavera SPPaulista
HATHAT
Clean sheets235224
Failed to score123235

Penalties

MetricPrimavera SPPaulista
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPrimavera SPPaulista
Wins32
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-20-2
Biggest losses0-21-00-12-0
Goals For4342
Goals Against3122

Model comparison

MetricPrimavera SPPaulista
Form44%56%
Att55%45%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Double chance : Primavera SP or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Bet365
Draw3.10 @ Betfair
Away4.10 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.73 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Primavera SP = 1.68 (league 1.07), Paulista = 1.02 (league 0.83)

Paulista
0 1 2 3 4 5
Primavera SP 0 6.8% 6.9% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.3% 11.5% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.7% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.3% 5.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.1% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 22.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1