Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 18:45 •
The EMR Stadium
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.56)
0.56 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.9% | 43.4% | 27.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
32.3%
1 - 0
18.6%
0 - 1
17.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Gorleston | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tilbury | 0 | 32.3% | 17.9% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.6% | 10.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tilbury | Gorleston |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 14% | 79% |
| Defense | 79% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tilbury | Gorleston | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 17% | 75% | 50% | 63% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
| Loses | 25% | 100% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Form: Tilbury: LWDLDL • Gorleston: WWLWDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Tilbury | Gorleston | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tilbury | Gorleston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 50% | 100% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 33% | 88% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tilbury | Gorleston | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tilbury | Gorleston |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tilbury | Gorleston |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tilbury | Gorleston |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 15% | 85% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 43.8% | 56.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Gorleston and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tilbury = 0.58 (league 1.56), Gorleston = 0.56 (league 1.24)
| Gorleston | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tilbury | 0 | 32.3% | 17.9% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.6% | 10.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.9% · Draw 43.4% · Away win 27.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1